NFL Week 3 odds, expert picks for all 16 games: Two undefeated matchups and several teams seeking answers

The 2024 NFL season is off to a sluggish start. Well, at least for many quarterbacks, passing games and fantasy leagues.

It’s been stressed across football broadcasts that “September is the new August” in the NFL. Teams are limiting competitive preseason reps, instead throwing new offenses into the fire during the opening weeks of the regular season. In a league full of young quarterbacks, that makes for some ugly early football. As an example: Through two weeks, only 69 touchdown passes were thrown league-wide — way down from 86 TDs last year and markedly lower than the average of 107.5 TD passes each of the four seasons prior.

As teams work through the timing of a new season, Week 3 offers plenty of intriguing games.

Two matchups between unbeatens is the focus Sunday afternoon. The Los Angeles Chargers travel to face the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Minnesota Vikings host the Houston Texans. The New Orleans Saints’ new offense lit up the league through two weeks and faces another test against the Philadelphia Eagles. Sunday afternoon also sees the Dallas Cowboys hosting the winless Baltimore Ravens with both teams looking for answers after puzzling performances.

Sunday Night Football features the Atlanta Falcons going for another big win when they welcome the Kansas City Chiefs to town.

If Sunday’s busy slate wasn’t enough, Monday Night Football brings its first doubleheader of the season. The Buffalo Bills host the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Cincinnati Bengals take on the Washington Commanders to cap a busy Week 3.

—Scott Phillips

We’ve got odds, previews, how to watch and expert picks for each game. But first, let’s review how our experts did last week:

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Classic AFC East rivals face off in this week’s Thursday Night Football matchup as the New York Jets host the New England Patriots. The Jets got back on track with a Week 2 win at Tennessee. Feisty New England is one of the NFL’s early surprises with its 1-1 start. As both teams try to catch up with the division-leading Buffalo Bills, New York is favored by close to a touchdown over New England.

Rhythm and execution are improving for the Jets offense. Quarterback Aaron Rodgers targets talented receiver Garrett Wilson frequently (10 catches, 117 yards on 17 targets this season), and the duo shows flashes of big-play ability. Running back Breece Hall has yet to break out with a big game but his contributions on the ground remain steady.

Stellar run defense is a catalyst for New England’s unexpected start. The Patriots’ secondary has a lot to prove, however, after corner Christian Gonzalez and teammates gave up a pair of 100-yard games to DK Metcalf and Jaxon Smith-Njigba in the overtime loss to Seattle.

Executing a conservative gameplan makes New England dangerous. The Patriots love to run the ball (tied 4th, 177.5 yards per game) and allow quarterback Jacoby Brissett to game-manage stable drives. Rhamondre Stevenson and Antonio Gibson form an intriguing one-two punch for the Patriot running game, with each back capable of big yardage.

New York’s defense shows weakness, particularly in the run game without pass rusher Jermaine Johnson (Achilles) and linebacker C.J. Mosley (toe) battling injury. Brissett needs to make timely plays through the air against a stacked Jets secondary. Tight end Hunter Henry is New England’s early go-to threat in the passing game, with almost the same number of catches through two games (10) as all of the Patriots’ wide receivers (11).

—Scott Phillips

Expert picks



The Indianapolis Colts are one of the many 0-2 teams around the NFL looking to get into the win column and enter Sunday’s game against the Chicago Bears as a very narrow favorite.

The headline story here will be the matchup of the two young quarterbacks, with Indianapolis’ Anthony Richardson (last year’s No. 4 overall pick) going up against Chicago’s Caleb Williams (this year’s No. 1 overall pick). Both quarterbacks have experienced some of the expected growing pains that come with playing the position at the highest level, but both also have the potential and talent to take over a game at any time.

But for as noteworthy as that matchup is, the game might ultimately be decided with the matchup of the Bears offensive line vs. the Colts defensive line. Through two games, the Colts run defense has been absolutely gashed by both the Houston Texans and Green Bay Packers, allowing a league-worst 237 rushing yards per game. No other team in the league is allowing more than 200 yards per game on the ground. Add in an injury to defensive tackle DeForest Buckner, and things could get even more grim on that front.

It could be a big opportunity for the Bears to get free agent acquisition D’Andre Swift going after he has accounted for just 48 yards on 24 carries so far. Getting an effective running game can take some of the pressure off of Williams, who is coming off a game in Houston where he took a physical beating due to the lack of protection in front of him. If the Bears offensive line cannot take control in this game, it is worth asking if they ever will this season.

—Adam Gretz

Expert picks


Embattled quarterbacks take center stage when the New York Giants and Cleveland Browns meet up in Week 3. The host Browns are favored against the winless Giants.

Not only are the Giants 0-2, they made the wrong kind of history in their most recent defeat. In falling to Washington 21-18 on a last-second field goal, New York became the first team in NFL history to score three or more touchdowns without giving up a touchdown but still lose in regulation.

Daniel Jones continues to be the scapegoat, and he certainly has plenty of room for improvement, but he’s not the sole culprit. The defense may not have surrendered a touchdown to the Commanders, but there were seven field goals and this is a unit that’s yielding 163 rushing yards per game.

For Cleveland (1-1), Deshaun Watson has an even lower passer rating than Jones, and that’s not even to mention his off-the-field legal troubles and calls for the Browns to bench him while investigations are ongoing.

The Browns have been abysmal (4-for-29) on third down, but their defense has provided more support. A safety late in the fourth quarter helped secure Cleveland’s 18-13 road win at Jacksonville last Sunday.

Both offenses have struggled to throw the ball and the explosive plays have been few and far between. Pass protection has certainly been an issue as Jones and Watson have already been sacked a combined 14 times.

Unless one of these offenses suddenly starts to figure things out, this is shaping up to be a low-scoring affair. If that’s how this game plays out, then the advantage should go to the team that fielded the league’s No. 1 defense last season.

—Mark Ross

Expert picks


“He’s a grown-up, and he knows better.” Those words, uttered by Tennessee Titans head coach Brian Callahan, are just one of several indications of his frustration with quarterback Will Levis. The Titans are winless following head-scratching decision-making by Levis in the first two games of the NFL season.

In spite of their QB’s haphazard play in a pair of crushing losses in Week 1 and 2 (each by the score of 24-17), the Green Bay Packers are slight underdogs to the Titans for this game in Nashville. The Titans had a lead or were tied in the fourth quarter in both of their defeats. The offensive failures have let down the Tennessee defense, which leads the NFL in fewest yards allowed.

The front five for the Packers may have a lot to say about being underdogs. Last week, Green Bay managed 261 yards on the ground, the most in one game for the franchise since 2003. Talk about diversification: four Packers had runs of at least 15 yards. Former rushing leader Josh Jacobs had 151 yards carrying the ball. But be wary: Jacobs has a history of a nagging back, and he hasn’t had consecutive 100-yard games since Week 12 in 2022.

The Tennessee defensive strength is the secondary, which means the Packers will likely stress the running game on Sunday.

Tennessee wide receiver Calvin Ridley has two of the twelve fastest plays in the NFL this season: one on a run, the other via a reception. In both cases, Ridley reached a speed of slightly over 20 miles per hour. Speed can burn the Packers, but if Levis makes another underhand pass that turns into an interception (as he has in the first two games), Titan fans will throw things overhand, underhand, and sidearm at their televisions.

—Dan Holmes

Expert picks


Philadelphia Eagles at New Orleans Saints (FOX)

Heading into Week 2, there was sensible skepticism toward what appeared to be an offensive turnaround for the Saints, given their Week 1 opponent was Carolina, an NFL team in only the basest sense. But after running Dallas out of its own stadium, seeing New Orleans post as home favorites against the Eagles doesn’t seem so strange.

What a difference a coordinator makes. New OC Klint Kubiak has the Saints on the move, using motion on 74 percent of their plays against the Cowboys and running play action nearly 60 percent of the time. The result is off-balance opposing defenses and an uptick in explosive plays from New Orleans’ gifted athletes, most of whom were handcuffed by a scheme that was dead last in those categories last season. Rashid Shaheed in particular has blossomed, gashing defenses multiple times per game thanks to pre-snap momentum and quarterback Derek Carr having time to push the ball downfield. Add in a still-spry Alvin Kamara in the backfield and the Eagles defense is facing an attack far more dangerous than it appeared when the schedule came out.

Philadelphia is fresh off a stunner loss to Atlanta after an odd late-game play call combined with a dropped pass turned a surefire victory to dust.

Playing without superstar wideout A.J. Brown, the Philly offense is under-gunned for what figures to be a shootout. The Eagles struggle to pressure opposing quarterbacks and now have gone six straight games without an edge rusher recording a sack. Their ground defense is among the worst in the league, allowing 6.4 yards per carry, and their pass coverage isn’t built to handle the Saints’ speed. Luckily, with quarterback Jalen Hurts, superstar running back Saquon Barkley, and an elite offensive line, Philadelphia has the tools to control the game pace. But they better exert their will early, because New Orleans has demonstrated how quickly their new blitzkrieg offense can push things out of hand.

—J.J. Bailey

Expert picks


Los Angeles Chargers at Pittsburgh Steelers (CBS)

Is this the dawn of a new “Steel Curtain?” Such a question is appropriate after the Pittsburgh Steelers allowed just 16 points in the first two weeks. Only one touchdown has been scored against the Pittsburgh defense.

But oddly, that may be just what gets the juices flowing for Jim Harbaugh, who leads his Los Angeles Chargers into the Steel City on Sunday. Both teams are 2-0, but the Steelers are slight (ever so slight) favorites. Harbaugh loves a defensive battle that’s fought in the trenches, and if he can get quarterback Justin Herbert to get into the red zone enough times, he won’t flinch at winning a game decided by the toes of his placekicker.

If any fan base can get behind a low-scoring, defense-first team, it’s the good folks of Pittsburgh. But the last time this team won titles this way was in the 1970s, and pro football was much different. Eventually, Justin Fields, or some Steeler QB, will need to pass the ball and score six points at a time. So far, Pittsburgh has kicked eight field goals(!) against one TD this season.

This is the part of the preview where we would list the offensive weapons the Steelers have on the roster. But Pittsburgh has the fewest offensive snaps and fewest dropbacks of any team in the NFL this season. It’s clear that Mike Tomlin is fine winning “ugly,” and in Pittsburgh ugly with a side of crushing defense is beautiful.

How magical is Harbaugh? He has a fourth-year player who only had 10 starts entering this season, leading the NFL in rushing. That man is J.K. Dobbins, a powerful back who leads the league in forced missed tackles.

This is one of the most intriguing matchups of Week 3: two teams that like to shove the football into the face of the defense, like to chew up the clock, and aren’t afraid to get points three at a time.

—Dan Holmes

Expert picks


Houston Texans at Minnesota Vikings (CBS)

Sam Darnold faces his toughest test yet when he faces the defense of the Houston Texans on Sunday. The undefeated Minnesota Vikings are underdogs against the undefeated Texans at home, which says a lot about the respect Houston is getting around the NFL.

Two names that will likely be at the forefront of this matchup are Houston corners Derek Stingley Jr. and Kamari Lassiter. That pair rates among the best in the league, and Darnold will find it difficult to work against their pressure cover tactics. Lost in the solid play by Darnold so far this season is the fact he’s tossed an interception each week and has seemed to squeeze the ball a bit too tight at times.

Minnesota fans will see a familiar face in former Viking wideout Stefon Diggs. While he’s not the prime target for C.J. Stroud at this juncture of his career, Diggs can deliver the goods even when he’s not highly targeted (10 catches, but two for scores).

Houston wide receiver Nico Collins is a key offensive weapon for Stroud. Through two games, he leads the NFL in receiving yards. The former Michigan Wolverine is one of the most targeted pass-catchers in the league, even if he’s getting the ball from a former Ohio State Buckeye.

A slew of young quarterbacks have entered the NFL in the last two seasons. But Houston’s Stroud is probably the best. He manages games well, can go downfield with on-point passing, already has a playoff win, and shows poise that Caleb Williams and Bryce Young can only dream about. On Sunday, he’ll need to avoid a top pass-rushing attack. Minnesota defensive lineman Jonathan Greenard is one of the best in the NFL in pressures. The Vikings have a league-best 11 sacks.

—Dan Holmes

Expert picks


Two teams trending in opposite directions match up when the unbeaten Tampa Bay Buccaneers host the winless Denver Broncos. Tampa Bay is pushing for another NFC South crown behind a new-look offense and strong start from quarterback Baker Mayfield. On the opposite end of the spectrum is struggling rookie QB Bo Nix. The Buccaneers are favored by a touchdown in this one.

Tampa Bay opened eyes with a comeback road victory over Detroit in Week 2. Mayfield’s 11-yard touchdown run in the final minute was a showcase moment after a steady performance. The connection between wide receiver Chris Godwin and Mayfield in new offensive coordinator Liam Coen’s gameplan is apparent. Godwin has 200 yards and two TDs already in the new year — hauling in 15 of 16 targets from Mayfield.

Even with a struggling run game and injury to lead back Rachaad White, Mike Evans and Godwin remain a dangerous duo. The Bucs are fourth in scoring offense and Mayfield is second in QB rating so far.

An ugly Week 2 loss against Pittsburgh saw Denver go without a touchdown. Nix has four interceptions and zero TD passes with little help coming from Broncos running backs early this season. Denver is 30th in scoring offense and 29th in total yards per game with limited star power to help the struggling Nix.

Against a revamped Tampa Bay secondary that held Detroit to only one touchdown in seven red zone appearances, Denver needs to finish drives and limit turnovers. Pressuring the quarterback is an early weakness for Tampa Bay with injuries to Calijah Kancey and Vita Vea. But Broncos veteran tackle Mike McGlinchey (MCL sprain) is out, providing even more questions for Denver.

—Scott Phillips

Expert picks


 Carolina Panthers at Las Vegas Raiders (CBS)

The Las Vegas Raiders are favored at home against the Carolina Panthers in a Sunday afternoon NFL game.

Usually it’s good news when your opponent has a quarterback controversy. But the Raiders may have been unlucky when Panthers’ coach Dave Canales announced that Bryce Young was being benched for Week 3. That’s because the Carolina team can hardly play worse with a new player under center.

How bad have the Panthers been? They rank last in points (6.5 PPG) and total yards offensively (176 YPG). The Carolina offense under Young has been a disaster: The Panthers are 2-for-22 on third-down conversions.

It will be Andy Dalton, the old “Red Rifle,” at QB for the Panthers this Sunday. Dalton has 83 wins in this league, but he’ll need to prove he’s more than just a clipboard carrier at this point at the age of 36. Once upon a time, Dalton was a slinger, but Canales just needs game management.

The Raiders should dominate this game. But, it remains to be seen if Gardner Minshew can continue his unexpected success rate completing passes. His 77.5 completion rate is first in the NFL. Good news for the Raiders: The Panthers have surrendered 10 yards per completion.

With an abysmal point differential of 73-13, the Panthers have been a tough watch so far this season. On the road in Las Vegas, it shouldn’t be much different in Week 3.

—Dan Holmes

Expert picks


The Miami Dolphins move on without Tua Tagovailoa when they take on the Seattle Seahawks in Week 3. The Seahawks are favored at home as they seek to improve to 3-0.

Tagovailoa will be sidelined for the foreseeable future after suffering his latest concussion. Skylar Thompson will take over, and while he has one playoff start under his belt (plus two others), this will be a different Dolphins offense.

The running game will take on even more importance, and the team is hopeful that Raheem Mostert (chest) will be able to return after missing last week’s game. If not, it could be the De’Von Achane show once again. The second-year back was the lone bright spot in the 31-10 home loss to Buffalo with 165 total yards and a touchdown.

Seattle also is dealing with a depleted backfield. Kenneth Walker III could miss his second straight game due to an oblique injury. Zach Charbonnet averaged just 2.7 yards per carry last week but Geno Smith threw for 327 yards to help the Seahawks earn a 23-20 overtime victory at New England. DK Metcalf and Jaxon Smith-Njigba combined for 246 yards and a touchdown on 22 catches.

Seattle’s defense has struggled to stop the run in the early going (the Patriots had 185 rushing yards), but Miami’s quarterback change could make the Dolphins’ offense more one-dimensional. At a minimum, it’s somewhat of a mystery how effective wide receivers Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle will be with Thompson now throwing to them.

Despite last week’s score, Miami’s defense played relatively well against the Bills. Three turnovers, including a pick-six, were just too much to overcome. Can this defense carry the load while the reconfigured offense finds its footing? It seems like a tough assignment considering all the Dolphins have gone through over the past 10 days combined with a long trip out to the West Coast.

—Mark Ross

Expert picks



Week 2 was an absolute nightmare for survivor pools, and the Lions were part of the problem. Detroit was the heavy favorite against Tampa Bay, but lost 20-16 after going 1-for-7 in the red zone, turning the ball over twice, and missing out on a field goal because of bad clock management. Still, they’re favored at home against the Cardinals, who just walloped the Rams 41-10.

While Arizona bottled up LA to the tune of 245 yards allowed, the Rams are reeling from injury and were out of the game in the first quarter. The Cardinals gave up the second-most points last season and still lack a meaningful pass rush, and the Lions represent by far the most complete offense they’ve faced — so long as they don’t continue to beat themselves.

Arizona’s success at beating the spread will depend on whether they can establish the run against a stout Detroit front. While Kyler Murray looks the best he has in years and Marvin Harrison Jr. looks every bit the star he was drafted to be, the Cardinals need the ground to be a viable option to unlock the rest of the offense. James Conner has thrived thus far, averaging 86 yards per game, and he and Murray are two of eight rushers with multiple runs of 20 yards or more.

But Detroit is allowing just 76.5 rushing yards a game and has the best tackling efficiency in the NFL. Add to that the league’s best pass rush through two games (Aidan Hutchinson is, as the kids say, a problem), and the Cardinals will need all the explosive plays they can get to move the chains.

—J.J. Bailey

Expert picks



Of all the 0-2 teams in the NFL to start the season, the Los Angeles Rams might be facing the most desperate situation going into Week 3. Not only are they coming off a 31-point loss to Arizona, but now they have to play one of the best teams in the league and a divisional rival — the San Francisco 49ers. They do so without their top two wide receivers (Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp) due to injury. Given that situation, it is probably not much of a surprise that they are a staggering touchdown underdog at home.

Coach Sean McVay and the Rams are going to have their work cut out for them against the 49ers with Kupp and Nacua both out.

While the 49ers have their own share of injury problems (no Christian McCaffrey or Deebo Samuel), they still have Brandon Aiyuk, George Kittle and an emerging star in running back Jordan Mason to carry the ball. Mason has been one of the biggest surprise stars of the season filling in for McCaffrey, already accounting for 247 yards on the ground and reaching the 100-yard mark in each of his first two starts.

The Rams defense is still trying to find its footing with a lot of new faces coming in this season while also dealing with the retirement of future Hall of Famer Aaron Donald.

The 49ers should still be able to get their points with the players in the lineup. The question is going to be whether or not Matthew Stafford can do enough with Tyler Johnson and Demarcus Robinson as his top two wide receivers to keep up with them.

—Adam Gretz

Expert picks


Baltimore Ravens at Dallas Cowboys (FOX)

To varying degrees, both the Baltimore Ravens and Dallas Cowboys enter their Week 3 matchup needing to set things straight. This is almost a pick ‘em game, with the winless Ravens favored by a slim margin on the road.

Troubles? The Cowboys don’t want to hear about the Baltimore problems. Dallas was thumped 44-19 by the Saints in its home opener last week. In that embarrassing defeat, the Cowboys allowed more than 400 yards, with a good balance on the ground and in the air.

Speaking of defense, that is the question for Mike McCarthy, now in his fifth season in Dallas and still with only one playoff win in his tenure. Hot seat indeed, and McCarthy may need to lean even more heavily on the arm of recently re-signed quarterback Dak Prescott. But a passer rating of 81.4 won’t cut it for Prescott and the Cowboys, especially against the relentless defense that Baltimore puts on the field.

The Ravens have to avoid self-destruction. The team has 173 yards in penalties, the second-worst in the league. Baltimore has played well enough to win each of its first two games. Their net yard differential is the fourth-best in the league, ahead of a few 2-0 teams, including Kansas City. Can luck be blamed? At least a little: the Ravens have only two turnovers, but one was a blind side strip sack, and the other was a fluky interception. They lead the NFL in yards and are fourth in first downs. Lamar Jackson isn’t the problem.

The Ravens need to shore up their pass defense (ranked last in opponent passing yards through two weeks). But it’s unclear where the improvement can come from: The roster is what it is. John Harbaugh’s track record is one of aggressive linebacker and secondary play. Such a tactic, performed by lesser talent, could be unwise against Prescott.

—Dan Holmes

Expert picks


Kansas City Chiefs at Atlanta Falcons (NBC)

Late-game heroics resulted in victories for both the Kansas City Chiefs and Atlanta Falcons in Week 2. Overcoming an average outing from Patrick Mahomes, the Chiefs dispatched the Bengals. Kirk Cousins delivered in the two-minute drill with a last-minute TD for the Falcons to avoid an 0-2 start. Sunday Night Football sees Kansas City as small favorites over Atlanta.

It’s encouraging the Chiefs won without Mahomes at peak performance. Two turnovers and only 151 passing yards in Week 2 were offset by Isiah Pacheco’s 91 yards on the ground. A broken fibula is sidelining Pacheco for the foreseeable future. The new Chiefs backfield could feature rookie Carson Steele and re-signed practice squad veteran Kareem Hunt — returning to the Chiefs for the first time since 2018.

Rashee Rice handles a high volume of targets as the No. 1 receiving option for Kansas City. Travis Kelce’s minimal contribution (four catches, 39 yards) should increase with the team’s uncertain running game. The Falcons have solid numbers against the pass (seventh, 156 yards allowed per game). But Mahomes could pick apart a defense that ranks 25th in sack rate (5.6 percent) with only one forced turnover all season. Atlanta’s front needs to bring consistent pressure.

Things clicked for Cousins with 241 passing yards and two touchdowns during Week 2. Taking more snaps under center after a shotgun-heavy Week 1, the veteran QB maintained better rhythm with the help of play-action against Philadelphia. Effective running with 150 yards on 23 carries from Bijan Robinson and Tyler Allgeier supported Atlanta’s renewed passing game.

As Cousins builds bonds with receivers Drake London and Darnell Mooney, Atlanta’s game plan needs to integrate Kyle Pitts. Tight ends have lit up the Chiefs defense for 276 receiving yards in two games.

—Scott Phillips

Expert picks


Jacksonville Jaguars at Buffalo Bills (Monday, ESPN)

AFC teams on opposite ends of the early-season spectrum will meet when the Jacksonville Jaguars and Buffalo Bills kick off the Week 3 Monday night doubleheader. The undefeated Bills are favored at home over the winless Jaguars.

After rallying to defeat Arizona at home in Week 1, Buffalo dominated Miami on the road last Thursday, making the most of three turnovers in a 31-10 victory. The offense flows through quarterback Josh Allen but running back James Cook was the star against the Dolphins with three total touchdowns.

Allen didn’t have to do much with the Bills in total control, and the reconfigured passing attack remains a work in progress. Second-year wide receiver Khalil Shakir has been reliable, but rookie Keon Coleman saw just one target last week after a promising debut, and tight end Dalton Kincaid has five catches for 44 yards through two games.

Jacksonville has lost its first two games by a combined eight points. The defense gave up plenty of yards to both Miami and Cleveland, particularly through the air, but the offense has had its share of issues. Trevor Lawrence has one touchdown pass and has already been sacked seven times. Travis Etienne is averaging less than four yards per carry and committed a critical fumble in the Week 1 loss to the Dolphins.

The gap between these two teams probably isn’t as big as the records indicate. But it’s clear that the Bills have all the momentum, and a trip to Highmark Stadium to face them isn’t exactly an ideal get-right matchup for the scuffling Jags.

—Mark Ross

Expert picks


Washington Commanders at Cincinnati Bengals (Monday, ABC)

Another year, another 0-2 start for the Cincinnati Bengals. They have been able to avoid an 0-3 start in each of the past two years and will have an opportunity to avoid another one on Monday night when they host the Washington Commanders. The Bengals are more than a touchdown favorite on the heels of a tough-luck loss on the road at Kansas City.

If there is a silver lining for the Bengals in all of this, it is that quarterback Joe Burrow started to look more like himself in Week 2 and wide receiver Tee Higgins is making progress and inching his way back to the lineup. Higgins’ status for Monday remains unknown, but getting him back would be a huge boost to both Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase, who has just 10 catches and 97 yards through the first two games of the season.

They are also going against a Washington pass defense that is tied for 22nd in the league through two games and has recorded just two sacks (both from Clelin Ferrell). There could be opportunities here for the Bengals.

Offensively, Washington is rolling with No. 2 overall pick Jayden Daniels, who has probably been the most successful of the rookie quarterbacks through two games. He has not thrown a touchdown yet, but he has completed 75.5 percent of his passes, not turned the ball over (though he has fumbled twice) and also rushed for 132 yards.

Even though the Commanders have not won a lot the past couple of years, they are 6-3 against the spread as road underdogs since the start of the 2023 season and have only lost two road games by more than seven points during that time. Only one of those losses was by more than eight points.

—Adam Gretz

Expert picks

(Photo of Kirk Cousins and Bijan Robinson: Mitchell Leff / Getty Images)

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